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Industrial Ethernet infrastructure component sales will recover in 2017
工業(yè)以太網(wǎng)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施組件銷售將在2017年收復(fù)

The market for industrial Ethernet infrastructure components has been monitored by IHS Markit for many years and has enjoyed revenue growth at a rate above that of industry in general, driven by the increasing adoption of Ethernet in its various forms as the industrial protocol of choice. There have been dips in the growth pattern; the latest research from the Industrial Ethernet Infrastructure Components Annual Service forecasts one of these dips in 2016. The report estimated that the world revenue growth 2014 to 2015 was a healthy 10.1 percent but forecasts this will fall to 4.5 percent, 2015 to 2016. However, the horizon looks brighter for 2017 and beyond.

多年來(lái)，IHS Markit一直關(guān)注著工業(yè)以太網(wǎng)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施組件市場(chǎng)，受到以太網(wǎng)以各種形式作為工業(yè)協(xié)議選擇而被越來(lái)越多地采用的推動(dòng)，這一市場(chǎng)收入增速高于一般工業(yè)收入增長(zhǎng)。但目前增長(zhǎng)模式出現(xiàn)了放緩， 《工業(yè)以太網(wǎng)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施組件年度服務(wù)》最新研究預(yù)測(cè)了2016年是放緩的一年。這份報(bào)告估計(jì)，2014年至2015年的全球收入增長(zhǎng)是健康的10.1％，但2015年至2016年預(yù)計(jì)將下降到4.5％。不過(guò)2017年及其后的市場(chǎng)前景看起來(lái)比較光明。

IHS Markit believes there are two main reasons for this, one being the knock-on effect of the lull in investment caused by the oil price crash in late 2014 and 2015. New production facilities and refurbishment programs were reviewed at that time and suppliers, including distributors, have been living off their stock for the business that was about. The signs are that business will return to a more normal growth pattern from 2017 on, assuming of course there are no further major world economic upsets.

IHS Markit認(rèn)為，這有兩個(gè)主要原因，其中一個(gè)是2014年底和2015年油價(jià)暴跌造成的投資下滑而帶來(lái)的連鎖效應(yīng)。當(dāng)其時(shí)，新的生產(chǎn)設(shè)施和更新計(jì)劃受到重新評(píng)估，供應(yīng)商，包括分銷商，只能依靠存量市場(chǎng)維持其相關(guān)業(yè)務(wù)。跡象表明，從2017年起，假如全球經(jīng)濟(jì)沒(méi)有進(jìn)一步的大混亂，企業(yè)將恢復(fù)到更加正常的增長(zhǎng)模式。

The other reason for the lull in sales is believed to be that of confidence in world trading conditions caused mainly by the stability of the European Union and the presidential election in the United States. Factors affecting business confidence in the European Union includes the United Kingdom referendum voting to leave the union. The consequences of taking this action are not clear, which has caused uncertainty in some market sectors. Other factors include the mass immigration from the Middle East and Africa; and the stability of the euro. Despite this, Germany’s strong manufacturing base and the impetus and publicity behind Industry 4.0 and the industrial internet of things (IIoT) continues to be a stabilising factor. IHS Markit believes that the lull in component sales is temporary and the revenue growth rates of the past will return.

銷售放緩的另一個(gè)原因是對(duì)世界貿(mào)易條款的信心度，這主要是歐盟的穩(wěn)定和美國(guó)總統(tǒng)選舉造成的。影響歐盟商業(yè)信心的因素包括英國(guó)脫歐公投。公投造成的后果不明朗，這導(dǎo)致一些市場(chǎng)行業(yè)的不確定性。其他因素包括來(lái)自中東和非洲的大規(guī)模移民，以及歐元的穩(wěn)定性。但盡管如此，德國(guó)強(qiáng)大的制造業(yè)基礎(chǔ)以及在工業(yè)4.0和工業(yè)物聯(lián)網(wǎng)背景下的動(dòng)力和宣傳仍然是一大穩(wěn)定因素。IHS Markit認(rèn)為，組件的銷售放緩只是暫時(shí)的，未來(lái)將恢復(fù)到前期增長(zhǎng)率。